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RBI monetary policy 2025: RBI Cuts Repo Rate by 25 bps to 6.25%, First Reduction in 5 Years; Projects FY26 GDP Growth at 6.7%

New Delhi, February 2025: In a significant move, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has cut the repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 6.25% during its Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting held today. This marks the first repo rate cut in five years, signaling a shift in the central bank’s monetary policy stance aimed at boosting economic growth.

Key RBI monetary policy Announcements from RBI’s MPC Meeting:

  • Repo Rate Cut: The RBI reduced the repo rate from 6.50% to 6.25%, providing relief to borrowers and businesses.
  • GDP Growth Estimate for FY26: The RBI has projected India’s GDP growth at 6.7% for the financial year 2025-26 (FY26), reflecting moderate optimism for economic recovery.
  • Inflation Outlook: The central bank maintained a cautious stance on inflation, emphasizing the need for vigilance despite the rate cut.
  • Liquidity and Banking Sector Impact: RBI assured adequate liquidity in the banking system to support credit growth.

What Led to the Rate Cut?

The RBI’s decision comes amid moderating inflation, improved economic stability, and the need to stimulate domestic demand. Over the past five years, the repo rate had remained unchanged or increased to combat inflationary pressures. However, with global economic conditions stabilizing and India’s fiscal policies supporting growth, the RBI found room for a rate reduction.

Impact of the Repo Rate Cut:

  1. Lower Borrowing Costs: Home loans, auto loans, and business loans are expected to become cheaper, encouraging investment and spending.
  2. Boost to Economic Growth: The rate cut aims to support industries, startups, and businesses by reducing the cost of credit.
  3. Stock Market Reaction: The markets responded positively to the announcement, with banking and real estate stocks seeing gains.
  4. Encouraging Investments: Lower interest rates may drive more corporate and infrastructure investments, contributing to long-term growth.

Governor’s Statement

RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra emphasized that while the rate cut was necessary to support economic growth, monetary policy will remain watchful of inflation risks. He also reiterated the RBI’s commitment to financial stability and supporting economic momentum in the coming years.

Looking Ahead after RBI monetary policy

With the repo rate now at 6.25%, analysts expect further policy adjustments based on inflation trends, global economic conditions, and domestic fiscal policies. The Indian economy’s resilience, combined with proactive RBI measures, is expected to keep the growth trajectory stable in FY26.

Stay tuned for further updates on RBI’s policy decisions and their impact on the economy.

 
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Union Budget 2025: Date, Time, and Key Details

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is set to present the Union Budget 2025 on Saturday, February 1, 2025, at 11 AM in Parliament. This marks her eighth consecutive budget presentation and will be the second full budget under Modi 3.0.

The central government has officially confirmed the schedule, and all eyes will be on the fiscal policies and economic strategies outlined in this crucial budget session.

 
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Sensex today Plunges 2,222 Points; Nifty Nears 24,050 Amid Global Market Turmoil

In a dramatic downturn, the Indian stock markets witnessed a significant slump on August 5. The Sensex plummeted by 2,222 points, closing at 55,423, while the Nifty ended near the 24,050 mark, amid a global market rout influenced by escalating geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties.

Key Factors Contributing to the Sensex today Fall:

  1. Global Market Sentiment:
    • International markets experienced a widespread sell-off driven by concerns over geopolitical tensions and the economic impact of the ongoing conflict in Eastern Europe. Investors were wary of the potential for further escalation, which has been causing significant volatility.
  2. Economic Data and Inflation Fears:
    • Concerns over rising inflation and its impact on global economic recovery were evident. The latest economic data indicated increasing price pressures, which could lead to more aggressive monetary tightening by central banks worldwide, further unsettling investors.
  3. Technology Sector Impact:
    • The technology sector, which has been a significant driver of market gains, saw substantial losses. The sector faced pressure due to fears of increased regulatory scrutiny and higher borrowing costs, leading to a sell-off in tech stocks.

Sector Performance in Sensex Today:

  • Banking and Financial Services:
    • The banking and financial sectors were among the hardest hit, with leading banks and financial institutions recording significant losses. This was partly due to fears of rising interest rates and their potential impact on lending margins.
  • Automobile and Manufacturing:
    • The auto and manufacturing sectors also faced a downturn. Supply chain disruptions and rising raw material costs added to the sector’s woes, leading to declines in major auto and manufacturing stocks.
  • IT and Technology:
    • Major IT firms saw their stock prices fall sharply. The sector, which had been resilient in previous market downturns, was not immune this time, as fears of regulatory challenges and tightening monetary policies took a toll.

Investor Sentiment:

Investor sentiment remained cautious throughout the trading session, with a marked shift towards safer assets. The flight to safety was evident as gold prices rose, and there was increased demand for government bonds. The volatility index (VIX), often referred to as the fear gauge, spiked, reflecting the heightened uncertainty in the market.

Outlook:

Market analysts suggest that the current volatility may persist in the short term, driven by global geopolitical developments and economic data. Investors are advised to remain cautious and focus on long-term fundamentals rather than short-term market fluctuations.

Summary of Sensex August 5, 2024:

The stock market’s significant fall on August 5 underscores the impact of global economic and geopolitical uncertainties on investor sentiment. As markets continue to navigate these challenges, the focus will be on how policymakers and central banks respond to inflationary pressures and economic disruptions. For now, investors are likely to tread carefully, awaiting more clarity on the global economic outlook.

 
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Gujarat Sees 55% Jump in FDI Inflow in FY 2023-24

Gujarat: The fiscal year 2023-24 witnessed a remarkable 55 percent increase in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflow into Gujarat, according to data released by the Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) under the Ministry of Commerce and Industry. The state received $7.3 billion in FDI during this period, up from $4.7 billion in FY 2022-23.

With this significant growth, Gujarat has climbed to the second position in the country for FDI inflows, surpassing both Karnataka and Delhi. This marks the third consecutive year of growth for the state, which recorded $2.7 billion in FDI in FY 2021-22, $4.7 billion in FY 2022-23, and now $7.3 billion in FY 2023-24.

Gujarat Minister of Industries and Mines, Balvantsinh Rajput, attributed this success to the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chief Minister Bhupendrabhai Patel. He stated, “Under the guidance of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Chief Minister Bhupendrabhai Patel is ensuring that every possible mechanism that facilitates investment and business is in place, ranging from state-of-the-art industrial infrastructure to business-friendly government policies. Due to the dedicated efforts of the Prime Minister and the Chief Minister, Gujarat is also attracting significant investment in emerging industries like semiconductors and other promising sectors.”

Overall, Maharashtra topped the list of states with the highest FDI inflow in 2023-24, receiving $15.1 billion. Gujarat followed with $7.3 billion, while Karnataka, Delhi, and Telangana rounded out the top five with FDI inflows of $6.6 billion, $6.5 billion, and $3 billion, respectively.

The consistent growth in FDI inflows highlights Gujarat’s robust economic policies and its attractiveness as an investment destination. As the state continues to develop its industrial infrastructure and foster a business-friendly environment, it is well-positioned to attract even more foreign investment in the coming years.

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Sensex Reaches New All-Time High of 80,000

The S&P BSE Sensex reached the 80,000 mark for the first time on Wednesday, setting yet another record this year. Impressively, the index added the last 10,000 points in under seven months, having first hit 70,000 on December 11, 2023.